This paper tests the hypothesis that long-short speculators are able to generate short-term investment returns based on their sentiment for twelve agricultural commodity futures. For this purpose, we dynamically model the equidirectional trading of long and short commodity futures of long-short...

This paper tests the hypothesis that long-short speculators are able to generate short-term investment returns based on their sentiment for twelve agricultural commodity futures. For this purpose, we dynamically model the equidirectional trading of long and short commodity futures of long-short...

This paper tests the hypothesis that long‐short speculators are able to generate short‐term investment returns based on their sentiment for 12 agricultural commodity futures. For this purpose, we dynamically model the equidirectional trading of long and short commodity futures of...

This paper assesses information contained in the micro dataset of the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters regarding quarterly Brent crude oil price forecasts. We examine the expectations building mechanism by referring to the processing of information and confirm the presence of information...

This paper examines the effectiveness of the negative interest rate policy conducted by several central banks to stabilize economic growth and in ation expectations through the signaling channel. In doing so, we assess survey-based expectations data for up to 44 economies from 2002 to 2017 and...