Climate science finds that the trend towards higher global temperatures exacerbates the risks of droughts. We investigate whether the prices of food stocks efficiently discount these risks. Using data from thirty-one countries with publicly-traded food companies, we rank these countries each...

The work of Treynor and Mazuy (1966) spawned an extensive literature on returns-based measurement of portfolio performance which distinguishes between a manager's ability to act on information specific to an individual asset (asset selection) and ability to forecast systematic risk premiums and...

In this paper, we develop a novel model to forecast the volatility of S&P 500 futures returns by considering measures of limits to arbitrage. When arbitrageurs face constraints on their trading strategies, option prices can become disconnected from fundamentals, resulting in a distortion that...

This paper finds evidence that stock returns vary with the physical climate change exposure of firms in a predictable manner. We construct measures of exposures to physical climate changes at the firm level, and find that firms with high climate change exposures experience lower future...

We propose a nonparametric estimator and a nonparametric test for Granger causality measures that quantify linear and nonlinear Granger causality in distribution between random variables. We first show how to write the Granger causality measures in terms of copula densities. We suggest a...

We propose a nonparametric estimator and a nonparametric test for Granger causality measures that quantify linear and nonlinear Granger causality in distribution between random variables. We first show how to write the Granger causality measures in terms of copula densities. We suggest a...

The past half-century has seen major shifts in inflation expectations, how inflation comoves with the business cycle, and how stocks comove with Treasury bonds. Against this backdrop, we review the economic channels and empirical evidence on how inflation is priced in financial markets. Not all...

We treat expenditures that create intangible assets as investments and instead of expensing them, we add them back to earnings when measuring the return on equity of firms while constructing the profitability factor in the Fama and French (2015) five factor model. The profitability factor we...

This study examines the relationship between the future stock returns and the fundamental indices for companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland. The fundamental exogenous variables were constructed following the previous research of Lev and Thiagarajan [1993], Abarbanell and Bushee...