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This paper investigates monetary policy in a heterogeneous agent new Keynesian (HANK) model where agents face idiosyncratic income risk and use adaptive learning in order to form their expectations. Households experience different histories and observe different idiosyncratic variables. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012658058
This paper revisits monetary policy in a heterogeneous agent New Keynesian model where agents use an adaptive learning strategy named recursive least square learning in order to form their expectations. Due to the households' finite heterogeneity triggered by idiosyncratic unemployment risk, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013237077
The present paper studies the effect of monetary policy on inflation and output within a New Keynesian model with Experience-Based Learning (EBL) that renders expectations heterogeneous across age groups. Under EBL, the age-distribution directly affects the composition of aggregate expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330596
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the formation of expectations at the micro-level, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012226634
Empirical evidence suggests consumers rely on their shopping experiences to form beliefs about inflation. In other words, they "learn by shopping". I introduce this empirical observation as an informational friction in the New Keynesian model and use it to study its consequences for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015069687
We show within a New Keynesian model with experience-based learning (EBL) that heterogeneous expectations across age groups impair the ability of monetary policy to stabilise the economy. While experience effects on expectations reduce the transmission of monetary policy on inflation, they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227926
New Keynesian theory identifies a set of principles central to the design and implementation of monetary policy. These …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496866
This exercise offers an innovative learning mechanism to model economic agent's decision-making process using a deep reinforcement learning algorithm. In particular, this AI agent is born in an economic environment with no information on the underlying economic structure and its own preference....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603191
The adaptive learning approach has been fruitfully employed to model the formation of aggregate expectations at the macroeconomic level, as an alternative to rational expectations. This paper uses adaptive learning to understand, instead, the formation of expectations at the micro-level, by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831652
What are the effects of beliefs, sentiment, and uncertainty, over the business cycle? To answer this question, we develop a behavioral New Keynesian macroeconomic model, in which we relax the assumption of rational expectations. Agents are, instead, boundedly rational: they have a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294890