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Does extreme downside risk require a risk premium in the pricing of individual assets? Extreme downside risk is a …. This measure, derived from statistical extreme value theory, is non-parametric. Extreme down-side risk is used in double …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132335
We introduce Implied Volatility Duration (IVD) as a new measure for the timing of uncertainty resolution, with a high IVD corresponding to late resolution. Portfolio sorts on a large cross-section of stocks indicate that investors demand on average more than five percent return per year as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012157194
This paper is concerned with statistical inference and model evaluation in possibly misspecified and unidentified linear asset-pricing models estimated by maximum likelihood and one-step generalized method of moments. Strikingly, when spurious factors (that is, factors that are uncorrelated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757568
After the Lehman-Brothers collapse, the stock index has exceeded its pre-Lehman-Brothers peak by 36% in real terms. Seemingly, markets have been demanding more stocks instead of bonds. Yet, instead of observing higher bond rates, paradoxically, bond rates have been persistently negative after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011760864
We study the temporal behavior of the cross-sectional distribution of assets' market exposure, or betas, using a large panel of high-frequency returns. The asymptotic setup has the sampling frequency of returns increasing to infinity, while the time span of the data remains fixed, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598456
We build a model for bond yields based on a small-scale representation of an economy with secular declines in inflation, the real rate and output growth. Long-run restrictions identify nominal shocks that influence long-run inflation but do not influence the long-run real rate or output growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012488074
This paper investigates whether multivariate crash risk is priced in the cross- section of expected stock returns …. Motivated by a theoretical asset pricing model, we capture the multivariate crash risk of a stock by a combined measure based on …. We find that stocks with a high exposure to joint crashes of the market and the momentum factor bear a risk premium which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993538
dividends next period as ambiguous. We calibrate the agent's ambiguity aversion to match only the first moment of the risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011994544
The long-run consumption risk model provides a theoretically appealing explanation for prominent asset pricing puzzles … U.S. data and provide a critical re-assessment of the long-run risk model's ability to reconcile the real economy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657819
In an asset-pricing model, risk-averse agents need to forecast the conditional variance of a stock's return. A near … self-fulfilling. When agents estimate risk in real time, recurrent bubbles and crashes can arise. These effects are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904149