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The US economy has experienced a slowdown in its long-term growth and job creation that predates the Great Recession. The stagnation of output growth stems mainly from the depressing effects of rising inequality on aggregate demand, while both increased inequality and the delinkage of employment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363266
This paper explains non-mortgage borrowing by U.S. households with demand-side factors, viz. disposable income, wealth and interest rate. The life cycle hypothesis and a standard two period consumption model are the basis of our theoretical model. We find with the cointegration techniques that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009226810
This article updates one of four trends in the US economy which were highlighted in a previous paper "Whither the US economy" published in 1999 in this Review. It focuses on the developments in the external accounts. In addition to showing a rapid increase in the negative US current account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752501
This article updates one of four trends in the US economy which were highlighted in a previous paper "Whither the US economy" published in 1999 in this Review. It focuses on the developments in the external accounts. In addition to showing a rapid increase in the negative US current account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752550
USAGE is a 500 industry dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the US economy being developed at Monash University in collaboration with the US International Trade Commission. In common with the MONASH model of Australia, USAGE is designed for four modes of analysis: Historical, where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005702547
Since the prolonged recession in 1980–1982 which laid the basis for the emergence of finance-led capitalism in the US there have been four phases of economic expansion. The first three ended with increasingly severe recessions in 1990–1991, 2001 and 2007–2009. The most recent expansion,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363309
The US economic expansion which began in 2009 was unusually prolonged but relatively weak. Profitability and investment strengthened between 2010 and 2015 but then began to falter. After Trump took office in 2017 there was a minor recovery in investment but the proceeds of major tax cuts were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363411
The US economic expansion which began in 2009 was unusually prolonged but relatively weak. Profitability and investment strengthened between 2010 and 2015 but then began to falter. After Trump took office in 2017 there was a minor recovery in investment but the proceeds of major tax cuts were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012483863
The US economic expansion which began in 2009 was unusually prolonged but relatively weak. Profitability and investment strengthened between 2010 and 2015 but then began to falter. After Trump took office in 2017 there was a minor recovery in investment but the proceeds of major tax cuts were...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012440170
This paper analyzes the effects of the real value of the dollar on investment in US domestic manufacturing using aggregate data for 1973-2004. Econometric estimation shows a negative effect that is much larger than has been found in any previous study. The exchange rate affects investment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162566