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In this paper, we investigate the use of limited-information estimators as measures of core inflation. Employing a model of asymmetric supply disturbances, with costly price adjustment, we show how the observed skewness in the cross-sectional distribution of inflation can cause substantial noise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474657
n this paper the long-run trend in CPI inflation (core inflation) for Italy is estimated over the 1962-1997 period. The estimates obtained with the Quah and Vahey (1995) bivariate structural VAR methodology and with a multivariate common trends model are compared. The results show the potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754475
Two rationales offered for policymakers' focus on core measures of inflation as a guide to underlying inflation are that core inflation omits food and energy prices, which are thought to be more volatile than other components, and that core inflation is thought to be a better predictor of total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012706056
Large price changes in industries affected by the COVID-19 pandemic have caused erratic fluctuations in the U.S. headline inflation rate. This paper compares alternative approaches to filtering out the transitory effects of these industry price changes and measuring the underlying or core level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012794634
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The ability of central banks to differentiate between permanent and transitory price movements is critical for the conduct of monetary policy. The importance of gauging the persistence of price changes in a timely manner has led to the development of measures of underlying, or core, inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012728477
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The standard measure of core or underlying inflation is the inflation rate excluding food and energy prices. This paper constructs an alternative measure, the weighted median inflation rate, for 38 advanced and emerging economies using subclass level disaggregation of the CPI over 1990-2021, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247953
Many alternative measures of core, or underlying, inflation have been proposed that are based on stripping out some unwanted or excessively volatile elements from the headline rate. A potential drawback of such measures is that they are necessarily atheoretic--based largely on purely statistical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217098