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This paper develops a new empirical measure of the S&P fundamental value under the rational expectation hypothesis. Thus, using the linearization of Campbell and Shiller (1988) and referring to the developments of Challe (2002), we extend the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) by introducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212194
Within a nonlinear framework, this article studies the market integration hypothesis between the French and American stock markets, on a short- and long-term basis. We use two nonlinear Error Correction Models (ECM): the Exponential Switching Transition ECM (ESTECM) and the nonlinear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011206159
Dans cet article, les co-mouvements entre les marchés boursiers émergents sont étudiés dans leur double dimension :l’intégration et la contagion. Nous avons mis en évidence que les cas extrêmes de segmentation stricte, d’intégration globale parfaite et d’intégration régionale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008868103
Using nonlinear modeling tools, this study investigates the comovements between the Mexican and the world stock markets over the last three decades. While the previous works only highlight some evidence of comovements, our paper aims to specify the different time-varying links and mechanisms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008872242
Given limited research on monetary policy rules in emerging markets, this paper estimates monetary policy rules for five key emerging market economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) analysing whether the monetary authority reacts to changes in financial markets, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009210963
This paper assesses the macroeconomic impact of fiscal policy shocks for four key emerging market economies - Brazil, Russia, India and China (BRICs) – using a Bayesian Structural Vector Auto-Regressive (BSVAR) approach, a Sign-Restrictions Vector Auto-Regressive framework and a Panel Vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009210964
Purpose – While price studies such as Jawadi et al. generally focus on the relationships between oil and stock markets through the study of oil price on stock markets, this paper takes a different perspective to the linkages between oil and stock markets. This study sets out to investigate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009367089
This article aims to study the issue of short- and long-term stock market integration in two of Latin America's biggest emerging economies - Mexico and Argentina - with the US stock market using multivariate cointegration tools. Our study covers a period of two decades and shows strong evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008674387