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panel of Brazilian interest rate future contracts and test for differences in forecasting performance among alternative … that the arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel model is able to outperform all other benchmark models when longer forecasting …
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A modification of the self-perturbed Kalman filter of Park and Jun (1992) is proposed for the on-line estimation of models subject to parameter in stability. The perturbation term in the updating equation of the state covariance matrix is weighted by the measurement error variance, thus avoiding...
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