Recent empirical research found that the strong short-term relationship between monetary aggregates and US real output and inflation, as outlined in the classical study by M. Friedman and Schwartz, mostly disappeared since the early 1980s. In the light of the B. Friedman and Kuttner (1992)...

The Federal Reserve's 2009 program to purchase $300 billion of U.S. Treasury securities represented an unprecedented intervention in the Treasury market and provides a natural experiment with the potential to shed light on the price elasticities of Treasuries and theories of supply effects in...

The paper integrates the two-pillar Phillips curve, which explains expected inflation by the money growth trend, within a simple macro model. A Taylor-like interest rule contains also a money growth target. The model takes into account serially correlated supply and money demand shocks; the...

A high degree of cyclical synchronization between the new EU member states (NMS) from Central and Eastern Europe and the euro area is considered to be a prerequisite for successful enlargement of the European Monetary Union. In this paper, we establish stylized facts on economic linkages between...

A high degree of cyclical synchronization between the new EU member states (NMS) from central and eastern Europe and the euro area is generally seen as a prerequisite for successful EMU enlargement. This paper investigates comovements between NMS and the euro area. We first establish stylized...

We estimate the elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) - the elasticity of expected consumption growth with respect to variation in the real interest rate - using subjective expectations from the newly released FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE). This dataset is unique, since it...