Kilian, Lutz; Zhou, Xiaoqing - 2021
expectations under the scenario. The peak response of the 1-year household inflation expectation would be 1.2 percentage points … scenario of the type discussed by many observers, would only briefly raise monthly headline inflation, before fading rather …, headline PCE inflation would increase by 1.8 percentage points at the end of 2021 under this scenario, and by 0.4 percentage …