The article presents strong evidence in favor of long-short (as opposed to long-only) commodity investments. We show that long-short fully-collateralized commodity portfolios based on momentum, term structure or hedging pressure present higher Sharpe ratios, lower volatility and lower...

This article formally compares two traditional long-only commodity indices, S&P-GSCI and DJ-UBSCI, with their enhanced versions that exploit signals based on contract maturity, momentum and term structure. The enhanced indices are found to be useful for tactical asset allocation. With alphas...

The article models the risk premium present in energy futures markets. This is done first by analyzing the performance of long-short portfolios based on single styles, and then by integrating these styles into an unique portfolio. Aligned with the hedging pressure hypothesis and the theory of...

The paper investigates the information content of speculative pressure across futures classes. Long-short portfolios of futures contracts sorted by speculative pressure capture a significant premium in commodity, currency and equity markets but not in fixed income markets. Exposure to commodity,...

The article tests for the presence of short-term continuation and long-term reversal in commodity futures prices. While contrarian strategies do not work, the article identifies 13 profitable momentum strategies that generate 9.38% average return a year. A closer analysis of the constituents of...

The paper estimates conditional pricing models for 11 international government bonds and shows that, while local instruments capture the change in the bonds' risks, global instruments model the variation in the factor risk premia. Altogether the changes in the factor risk premium capture 78.25%...

The paper provides a comprehensive appraisal of style-integration methods in equity index, fixed income, currency, and commodity futures markets. We confront the naïve equal-weight integration (EWI) method with a host of ‘sophisticated' style-integrations that derive the style exposures using...

This paper develops a long-short portfolio construction technique that captures the fundamentals of backwardation and contango and simultaneously deviates from the equal-weighting scheme traditionally employed in the commodity literature. We find that the sophisticated weighting schemes based on...

Most previous tests of hedge fund performance have failed to model the exposure of hedge fund returns to systematic non-normality risks, nor have they taken the tactical asset allocation decisions of hedge funds managers into account. This paper shows that failure to account for these features...

We construct long-short factor mimicking portfolios that capture the hedging pressure risk premium of commodity futures. We consider single sorts based on the open interests of either hedgers or speculators, as well as double sorts based on both positions. The long-short hedging pressure...