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This paper compares Value Line and I/B/E/S analyst earnings forecasts in terms of accuracy, rationality, and as proxies for market expectations. Using more recent data and forming consensus forecasts from the I/B/E/S detail files, we reach different conclusions than Philbrick and Ricks [1991],...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739141
This paper develops a taxonomy of research examining the role of financial analysts in capital markets. The paper builds on the perspectives provided by Schipper [Schipper, K. (1991). Analysts' forecasts. Accounting Horizons, 5, 105-131] and Brown [Brown, L. (1993). Earnings forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772732
We catalog the complete contents of All-American Analyst reports and examine the market reaction to their release. Including the justifications supporting an analyst's opinion reduces, and in some models eliminates, the significance of earnings forecasts and recommendation revisions. Analysts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774508
After a string of years in which security analysts' top stock picks significantly outperformed their pans, the years 2000 and 2001 were disasters. During those two years, the stocks least favored by analysts earned an average annualized market-adjusted return of 13.44 percent whereas the stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774587
In this study we examine the response of equity market participants to a wide variety of significant public announcements. Specifically, we examine total and directional trade patterns across 5 investor groups in the 10 trading days centered on the announcement. We utilize the TORQ database to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012775139
We investigate a sample of 50 firm events, identified in the Global Research Analysts Settlement, in which analysts were discovered to have acted misleadingly ex-post. In this setting, analysts' incentives caused them to issue public disclosures that differed from their private beliefs. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778499
Although a great deal of research documents the information content of management earnings forecasts at the firm level, there is little research on the informativeness of aggregate earnings guidance. We argue that aggregate earnings guidance is potentially informative at the market/economy level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778734
In Part I of this study, we evaluated the relative usefulness of information in alternative corporate information events (CIEs) to analysts by examining the frequency with which they trigger clusters of analysts' earnings estimate revisions. In Part II, we examine investor response to various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784480
This paper uses periods of unusually heavy earnings estimate revision activity by analysts to assess the relative usefulness of corporate information events (CIEs) in firm valuation. Because accounting information is more readily available, newsworthy and accessible, we hypothesize that CIEs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784483
In this paper, we examine investors' valuation of the domestic and foreign components of total earnings after controlling for information beyond current earnings. Our sample consists of U.S. multinationals during the 1985-2002 period. In a prior study, Bodnar and Weintrop (1997) find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784595