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We propose the use of likelihood-based confidence sets for the timing of structural breaks in parameters from time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082120
time series regression models. The confidence sets are valid for the broad setting of a system of multivariate linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757721
This paper investigates by means of Monte Carlo techniques the robustness of the CUSUM and CUSUM-of-squares tests (Brown et al., 1975) to serial correlation, endogeneity and lack of structural invariance. Our findings suggest that these tests perform better in the context of a dynamic model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728982
Prior studies have proposed constructing confidence sets for the break date by inverting a sequence of tests for the date of a structural break. In this study, we improve these confidence sets by taking the direction of the break into account. Even when the break direction is unknown, we can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002068644
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009775566
This paper demonstrates that unit root tests can suffer from inflated Type I error rates when data are cointegrated. Results from Monte Carlo simulations show that three commonly used unit root tests - the ADF, Phillips-Perron, and DF-GLS tests - frequently overreject the true null of a unit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011309691
its use in asset valuation. However, there are fewer references with respect to the appropriate time horizon that … investors should utilize when evaluating the risk-return relationship of a stock. We examine the appropriate time horizon for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011606725
Phillips curves have often been estimated without due attention to the underlying time series properties of the data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951489
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative … less demanding than existing methods. The approach is illustrated on nonlinear discrete time series models and models with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011383033