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We introduce human traders into an agent based financial market simulation prone to bubbles and crashes. We find that human traders earn lower profits overall than do the simulated agents (robots) but earn higher profits in the most crash-intensive periods. Inexperienced human traders tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288144
We introduce human traders into an agent based financial market simulation prone to bubbles and crashes. We find that human traders earn lower profits overall than do the simulated agents ("robots") but earn higher profits in the most crash-intensive periods. Inexperienced human traders tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003782440
This thesis consists of four self-contained papers related to banking, credit markets and financial stability. Paper [I] presents a credit market model and finds, using an agent based modeling approach, that credit crunches have a tendency to occur; even when credit markets are almost entirely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538873
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647230
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399
It seems that understanding how individuals make decision within a group is an attractive and difficult challenge for economists, managerialists and researchers in human and social sciences for a long time, which is closely related to the theoretical development of economics. The rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312558
We develop an agent-based model in which heterogeneous and boundedly rational agents interact by trading a risky asset at an endogenously set price. Agents are endowed with balance sheets comprising the risky asset as well as cash on the asset side and equity capital as well as debt on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328040
We propose a novel approach to the statistical analysis of simulation models and, especially, agent-based models (ABMs). Our main goal is to provide a fully automated and model-independent tool-kit to inspect simulations and perform counter-factual analysis. Our approach: (i) is easy-to-use by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012651853
We study the trading of real assets financed by collateralized loans in an agent based model of a continuous double auction. This approach provides a complementary perspective on recent advances in the general equilibrium theory of endogenous leverage by studying a model that simultaneously...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370101
We develop an agent-based model in which heterogeneous and boundedly rational agents interact by trading a risky asset at an endogenously set price. Agents are endowed with balance sheets comprising the risky asset as well as cash on the asset side and equity capital as well as debt on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010398708