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We use earnings forecasts from a cross-sectional model to proxy for cash flow expectations and estimate the implied cost of capital (ICC) for a large sample of firms over 1968–2008. The earnings forecasts generated by the cross-sectional model are superior to analysts' forecasts in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010576563
We use partisan and opportunistic political business cycle (“PBC”) considerations to develop and test a framework for explaining election-period changes in credit spreads for developing country sovereign bonds. Pre-election bond spread trends are significantly linked both to the partisan...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784660
We use partisan and opportunistic political business cycle (“PBC”) considerations to develop a framework for explaining election-period decisions by credit rating agencies (“agencies”) publishing developing country sovereign risk-ratings (“ratings”). We test six hypotheses derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784745
We use earnings forecasts from a cross-sectional model to proxy for cash flow expectations and estimate the implied cost of capital (ICC) for a large sample of firms over 1968-2008. The earnings forecasts generated by the cross-sectional model are superior to analysts' forecasts in terms of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133861
We examine whether, and to what extent, investors focus on salient and easy-to-process features in responding to analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
Cryptocurrencies have grown exponentially and gained increasing attention in recent years, and while it's true that it's secure by design, “Security” remains the cornerstone of any and all cryptoassets.To benchmark the global cryptocurrencies market from a security perspective, track current...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012925602
We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011873121
Bayesian theory predicts an increase in market participants' reliance on reported current earnings to revise their expectations of future earnings when the uncertainty in future earnings is higher. Prior studies focus on price reactions and find negative associations between measures of earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012772176
The use of computers to execute trades, often with very low latency, has increased over time, resulting in a variety of computer algorithms executing electronically targeted trading strategies at high speed. We describe the evolution of increasingly fast automated trading over the past decade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013060754
We examine the relation between security analysts' annual earnings forecast boldness ("bold analysts") and changes in the inferred flow of earnings-related information from managers of the forecasted firm to bold analysts. We find that unfavorably bold analysts experience an improvement in their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069870