This paper empirically examines the relationship between trading volume and conditional volatility of returns in the Tunisian stock market within the framework of the mixture of distribution hypothesis (MDH) and the sequential information arrival hypothesis (SIAH). Through this study, we...

This study examines the lead-lag-relationship between European equity and CDS markets in the context of the financial crisis. Previous research identified the stock market to lead the CDS market in an ordinary economic environment. Against the background of our study this lead-lag-relationship...

The carry trade is the investment strategy of going long in high-yield target currencies and short in low-yield funding currencies. Recently, this naive trade has seen very high returns for long periods, followed by large crash losses after large depreciations of the target currencies. Based on...

This paper investigates the impact of Twitter attention, measured by abnormal number of tweets on stock trading activities. We find that Twitter attention has predictive power for future stock volatility and trading volume. A heightened number of tweets is followed by high volatility and trading...

This paper studies intraday time-series momentum (ITSM) in an international setting by employing high-frequency data of 16 developed markets. We show that ITSM is economically sizable and statistically significant both in- and out-of-sample in most countries. Based on existing theories of...

Over-the-counter foreign exchange options (OTC-FXOs) are the fourth largest derivatives market in the world. However, the extant literature on their pricing is noticeably thin. We propose a new discrete time exponential-affine multi-factor model, with multiple estimation strategies and pricing...

The impact of the U.S. Employment Report and analyst forecasts of that report's major statistics on Pound/Dollar, Yen/Dollar, and Euro/Dollar exchange rates are explored. While the nonfarm payroll employment figure has the greatest impact, we find that the exchange rates also react to the...

This paper compares various machine learning models to predict the cross-section of emerging market stock returns. We document that allowing for non-linearities and interactions leads to economically and statistically superior out-of-sample returns compared to traditional linear models. Although...

This paper compares the forecasting and hedging performance of 11 CAPM beta estimators across 54 international stock markets. The Welch (2022) age-decayed slope-winsorized beta estimator ranks first in predicting future realized OLS betas in 46 markets and is always within the top 3 performers....

Russian Abstract: В течение последних двух лет на фондовые рынки России и США пришли миллионы новых частных инвесторов, однако их численность в Российской Федерации...