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An empirical model is presented linking inflation and unemployment rate to the change in the level of labour force in Switzerland. The involved variables are found to be cointegrated and we estimate lagged linear deterministic relationships using the method of cumulative curves, a simplified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008839473
The evolution of the rate of price inflation and unemployment in Japan has been modeled within the Phillips curve framework. As an extension to the Phillips curve, we represent both variables as linear functions of the change rate of labor force. All models were first estimated in 2005 for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010693451
Using a modified version of Okun’s law, we have modeled the rate of unemployment and the employment/population ratio in several largest developed countries: Australia, Canada, France, Japan, the UK, and the U.S. Our results show that the evolution of the (un)employment rate since the early...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010698860
We model the rate of inflation and unemployment in Austria since the early 1960s within the Phillips/Fisher framework. The change in labour force is the driving force representing economic activity in the Phillips curve. For Austria, this macroeconomic variable was first tested as a predictor of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699030
An empirical model is presented linking inflation and unemployment rate to the change in the level of labour force in Switzerland. The involved variables are found to be cointegrated and we estimate lagged linear deterministic relationships using the method of cumulative curves, a simplified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010639255
We re-estimate statistical properties and predictive power of a set of Phillips curves, which are expressed as linear and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010705832
We have modeled the employment/population ratio in the largest developed countries. Our results show that the evolution of the employment rate since 1970 can be predicted with a high accuracy by a linear dependence on the logarithm of real GDP per capita. All empirical relationships estimated in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014179652
Previously, linear trends were revealed in the differences between the headline CPI and the price indices for various subcategories of the CPI in the United States. These trends can be continuous, as observed with the price index for medical care, or piecewise with turning points between trends...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014046537
A two-component model for the evolution of real GDP per capita in the USA is presented and tested. The first component of the GDP growth rate represents an economic trend and is inversely proportional to the attained level of real GDP per capita itself, with the nominator being constant through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014052234
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, ?(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1)+A2 (where A0, A1, and A2 are empirical country-specific coefficients), was found for developed economies. The relationship obtained for France is characterized by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053159