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Over recent years, several euro area countries have registered large and persistent net foreign liabilities. This paper examines the risks arising from these external stock imbalances, the prospects for their smooth unwinding and the menu of policy options. The paper demonstrates that external...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011732721
The paper evaluates current account dynamics in countries with different exchange rate regimes within the EU. In this, the empirical analysis explicitly differentiates between countries with a flexible and a fixed exchange rate regime and members of a monetary union. In addition, we model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010211960
In terms of size, the net income balance (IB) is comparable to the trade balance (TB) for many countries. Yet the role of the IB in mitigating external vulnerabilities or complicating external adjustment remains underexplored. This paper studies the role of the IB in stabilizing or destabilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082657
Highlights * Global current account imbalances widened before the 2007/2008 crisis and have narrowed since then. While the post-crisis adjustment of European current account deficits was in line with global developments (though more forceful), European current account surpluses defied global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317114
We examine the hypothesis that one of the fundamental factors behind the Euro Area (EA) crisis is the reversal of intra-EA capital flows between the ‘core' and ‘periphery' economies. We compile a data set on aggregate and disaggregate gross and net intra-EA flows between Germany and Greece,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911813
Countries in the euro area periphery borrowed heavily from abroad in the years leading up to the sovereign debt crisis, largely to finance increased consumption and housing investment. When the crisis hit in 2010, capital flight by private investors forced these countries to bring domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049423
This paper takes up the question of whether market concerns about global imbalances in general, and the US external deficit in particular, are well founded. It reviews four arguments bearing on how concerned we should be about the widening of the US current account deficit since the Asian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136178
The COVID-19 pandemic, the health protection measures, and the policies meant to limit the economic effects of the disease have affected the world's economies on multiple levels, the international trade being one of the most seriously influenced domains. The paper1 aims to highlight the effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327897
This paper examines the persistent deterioration in the international external position of the U.S. over the past 60 years. I develop a model without Ponzi schemes and arbitrage opportunities that accounts for both the secular rise and the cyclical variations in the U.S. international debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017254
In light of persistently large net foreign liability (NFL) positions in several euro area countries, we analyse 138 episodes of sizeable NFL reductions for a broad sample of advanced and emerging economies. We provide stylised facts on the channels through which NFLs were reduced and estimate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011659341