We combine machine learning algorithms (ML) with textual analysis techniques to forecast bank stock returns. Our textual features are derived from press releases of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). We show that ML models produce more accurate out-of-sample predictions than OLS...

This paper describes the dependence of market-based statistical moments of returns on statistical moments and correlations of the current and past trade values. We use Markowitz’s definition of value weighted return of a portfolio as the definition of market-based average return of trades...

The Malaysia Islamic banking market has expanded rapidly and it continues to embrace innovative structure, as underlined by the launch of Islamic banking products using various Shariah concepts. One of the most popular Shariah concept used by Islamic Banks across all market segment in Malaysia...

This study examined the impact of exchange rate on disaggregated components of balance of payment in Nigeria for the period 2005-2020, using quarterly time series data generated from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical bulletin, 2020. The Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to...

Using six widely accepted indicators, this study compares the progress made in financial inclusion in Nigeria, Sub-Saharan Africa and the rest of the World, with a view to deducing lessons that each entity can improve upon. We find that Nigeria outperformed sub-Saharan Africa in three indicators...

From financial perspective, the JEREMIE fund initiative is profitable and enhances the functioning of micro and small enterprises. Particularly profitable are aspects connected with providing these enterprises with equity capital (i.e. Business Angels, Venture Capital) as well as with the...

This paper develops a unifying framework for allocating the aggregate capital of a financial firm to its business units. The approach relies on an optimisation argument, requiring that the weighted sum of measures for the deviations of the business unit’s losses from their respective allocated...

This paper explores the difficulties involved in quantitative measurement of operational risk and proposes simulation methods as a practical solution to obtain the distribution of total losses. It also introduces an example of the estimation of expected and unexpected losses, as well as...

This paper presents probability distributions for price and returns random processes for averaging time interval Δ. These probabilities determine properties of price and returns volatility. We define statistical moments for price and returns random processes as functions of the costs and the...

This paper presents an axiomatization of residual income, aka excess profit, and illustrates how it may univocally engenders fixed-income or variable-income assets. In the first part it is shown that, depending on the relations between excess profit and the investor's excess wealth, a...