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A Stable Model for Euro Area Money Demand : Revisiting the Role of Wealth
Beyer, Andreas - 2009
In this paper we present an empirically stable money demand model for Euro area M3. We show that housing wealth is an important explanatory variable of long-run money demand that captures the trending behaviour of M3 velocity, in particular its shift in the first half of this decade. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155103
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Non-Linear Dynamics in the Euro Area Demand for M1
Calza, Alessandro; Zaghini, Andrea - 2021
This paper investigates possible non-linearities in the dynamics of the euro area demand for the narrow aggregate M1. A long-run money demand relationship is firstly estimated over a sample period covering the last three decades. While the parameters of the relationship are jointly stable, there...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317661
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Modeling the Demand for M3 in the Euro Area
Golinelli, Roberto; Pastorello, Sergio - 2000
Money is one of the main elements ("pillars") on which the policy strategy of the European Central Bank is based, and such a role requires that money has a stable relationship with the Euro area price level. Typically, the stability of this relation is tested in the context of the so called...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014159218
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Bayesian Inference in Cointegrated VAR Models : With Applications to the Demand for Euro Area M3
Warne, Anders - 2021
The paper considers a Bayesian approach to the cointegrated VAR model with a uniform prior on the cointegration space …. Building on earlier work by Villani (2005b), where the posterior probability of the cointegration rank can be calculated … the marginal likelihood identity is used for calculating these probabilities, a point estimator of the cointegration space …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317369
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M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area
Dreger, Christian; Wolters, Jürgen - 2010
Recent empirical studies have found evidence of unstable long run money demand functions if recent data are used. If the link between money balances and the macroeconomy is fragile, the rationale of monetary aggregates in the ECB strategy has to be doubted. In contrast we present a "stable''...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518878
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M3 money demand and excess liquidity in the euro area
Dreger, Christian; Wolters, Jürgen - 2008
Money growth in the euro area has exceeded its target since 2001. Likewise, recent empirical studies did not find evidence in favour of a stable long run money demand function. The equation appears to be increasingly unstable if more recent data are used. If the link between money balances and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011384239
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Money and prices : an I(2) analysis for the euro area
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2002
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis … considerable empirical method for extracting information from monetary aggregates for monetary policy purposes. -- cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620770
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Money and Prices : An I(2) Analysis for the Euro Area
Holtemöller, Oliver - 2017
The concept of integrated stochastic processes is widely used in empirical macroeconomics; and cointegration analysis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951750
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The Functional Form of the Demand for Euro Area M1
Stracca, Livio - 2021
A remarkable development seen in recent years is the pronounced decline in euro area M1 velocity vis-a-vis a moderate decline in short-term interest rates, which represent the most natural opportunity cost for M1. This paper endeavous to estimate a demand function for euro area M1, in particular...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320294
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Is euro area demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques
Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010
circumstances more appropriate than the latter. What is more, they deliver results that are more in line with the economic theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010208785