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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003985103
This paper derives optimal hedge ratios with infrequent extreme news events modeled as common jumps in foreign currency spot and futures rates. A dynamic hedging strategy based on a bivariate GARCH model augmented with a common jump component is proposed to manage currency risk. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158084
This paper proposes a new class of GARCH-jump in mean models to test the presence of time varying risk premia associated with normal and extreme news events. The model allows for a dynamic jump component with autoregressive jump intensity, long-range dependence in volatility dynamics, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012723624
Offshore assets present investors with an increased investment universe and additional opportunities for reward, but embedded exposure to exchange rates can result in additional risk. In this work, we consider a global equity portfolio of five equity indices (US, Japan, Europe, UK and Canada),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942052
This paper introduces the Inverse Gamma (IGa) stochastic volatility model with time-dependent parameters, defined by the volatility dynamics dVt = κt.(θt − Vt).dt λt.Vt.dBt. This non-affine model is much more realistic than classical affine models like the Heston stochastic volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004351
This paper examines the relationship between currency option's implied skewness and its future realized skewness, where the difference is known as the skewness risk premium (SRP). The SRP indicates whether investors pay a premium to be insured against future crash risk. Past investigations about...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998625
We examine the form of heteroskedasticity in Deutsche Mark futures price data and compare different specifications of the particular way that the variance is changing over time. The martingale hypothesis is tested with daily and weekly rates of change of futures prices for the Deutsche Mark and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109926
The martingale hypothesis for daily and weekly rates of change of futures prices for five currencies is tested in this paper. With daily data, we find some evidence against the null hypothesis for each currency. Although institutionally imposed limits on daily price changes were binding fairly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110029
In this study, the impact of volatility regime shifts on volatility persistence and hedge ratio estimation is determined for four major currencies using an iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS)-GARCH model. Employing a standard GARCH (1,1) model as the benchmark, within-sample results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005050761
Using a vector error correction model I test whether shocks in the funding liquidity conditions in the U.S. and Europe separately explain deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) between the U.S. Dollar and the Mexican Peso. I find that: (1) Apparent deviations from the CIP seem to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392388