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This study explores the effect of the gambler's fallacy on stock returns. I hypothesize that if during a number of consecutive trading days, a stock's return is positive (negative), then due to the gambler's fallacy, at least some of the investors may believe that the stock's price "has" to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820323
The effect of stock liquidity on stock returns is well documented in the developed capital markets, while similar studies on emerging markets are still scarce and their results ambiguous. This paper aims to analyze the state-dependent variance of liquidity premium in the Polish stock market. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012238765
This paper aims at identifying a validated risk model for the cryptocurrency market. We propose a stochastic volatility model with co-jumps in return and volatility (SVCJ) to highlight the role of jumps in returns and volatility in affecting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012239256
The present study focused on one of the important South Asian nations-Sri Lanka-to examine the role of idiosyncratic volatility in asset prices. A four-factor model with idiosyncratic volatility was designed for capturing the market, size, value and idiosyncratic risk yields better than Fama and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012137461
This study investigates stock price movements in response to macroeconomic shocks, allowing for asymmetry in this relationship. Given Ferson's (1989) finding that large and small stocks can exhibit different risk behaviors, we examine the behaviors of the KOSPI and KOSDAQ stock markets in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174788
The aim of this paper is to assess the fair marketability discount (MD) in the Spanish market for valuation multiples comparing public versus private transactions. The study finds that to obtain MD it is necessary previously to control by a battery of factors that affects ratios' prices such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175002
Forecasting the stock returns in the emerging markets is challenging due to their peculiar characteristics. These markets exhibit linear as well as nonlinear features and Conventional forecasting methods partially succeed in dealing with the nonlinear nature of stock returns. Contrarily,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175006
The traditional loans pricing methods are usually based on risk measures of individual loan's characteristics without considering the correlation between the defaults of different loans and the contribution of individual loans to the entire loan portfolio. In this study, using account-level...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175768
This paper studies the volatility spillover and dynamic correlation between EU emission allowance (EUA) prices and energy prices by considering three energy commodities, including oil, gas, and coal. The asymmetric BEKK model is employed for multi-phase analysis of EU ETS, yet only a little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012175985
Implementation of monetary policy assumes that monetary policy instruments stabilize O/N interest rates to the proximity of main policy rate to archive monetary targets. The function of stabilizing mechanism is based on simple rule that the volume of liquidity in the banking system is held in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011459806