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Motivated by the apparent failure of the credit multiplier mechanism (CM) to deliver amplification in DSGE models, we re-examine its role in business cycles to address the question: is something wrong with the CM? Our answer is no. In coming to this answer we construct a model with reproducible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009762039
Investment booms and asset "bubbles" are often the consequence of heavily leveraged borrowing and speculations of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115731
The interest rate at which US firms borrow funds has two features: (i) it moves in a countercyclical fashion and (ii) it is an inverted leading indicator of real economic activity: low interest rates forecast booms in GDP, consumption, investment, and employment. We show that a Kiyotaki-Moore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903888
-selling constraints, speculation can generate overvaluation and speculative bubbles. Leverage can substantially inflate speculative … bubbles and leverage limits depend on perceived downside risks. Shifts in beliefs about downside tail scenarios can explain … the emergence and the collapse of leveraged speculative bubbles. Speculative bubbles are related to rational bubbles, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238441
This paper stresses a new channel through which global financial linkages contribute to the co-movement in economic activity across countries. We show in a two-country setting with borrowing constraints that international credit markets are subject to self-fulfilling variations in the world real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011911509
I construct an infinite-horizon dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with a collateral constraint and actual default in equilibrium. Entrepreneurs borrow from households through non-recourse debt contracts backed by capital goods. By taking into account the non-linear payoffs of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406066
Galí (2014) showed that a monetary policy rule that raises interest rates in response to bubbles can paradoxically lead … to larger bubbles. This comment shows that a central bank that wants to dampen bubbles can always do so by raising … argue Galí's model contains additional equilibria in which more aggressive rules dampen bubbles. We show that for these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349449
We take a simple q-theory model and ask how well it can explain external financing anomalies, both qualitatively and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149934
We propose a theory of indebted demand, capturing the idea that large debt burdens by households and governments lower … aggregate demand, and thus natural interest rates. At the core of the theory is the simple yet under-appreciated observation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012199991
It is well known that rational bubbles can be sustained in balanced growth path of a deterministic economy when the … return to capital r is equal to the growth rate g. When there is a lack of stores of value, bubbles can implement an … capital. Then, bubbles further efficiency, though they cannot implement first best. While bubbles can only be sustained when r …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011540632