In this paper we find that Fama and French factors can explain the future behavior of three macroeconomic variables of the Brazilian economy: GDP, industrial production and inflation. The results show that these three factors explain the future behavior of the macroeconomic variables with a...

We conduct a comprehensive analysis of the rationales proposed in prior studies to explain several well-known characteristic anomalies. Recognizing that only a minority of firms drive these anomalies, we run a statistical leverage analysis to filter out these firms. We then try to forecast the...

This paper examines the relative performance of small-caps vs. large caps surrounding periods of peaks and troughs of economic activity, and reexamines the relationship between the small firm anomaly and the business cycle. Small-cap firms outperform large caps over the year subsequent to an...

In 1994, Josef Lakonishok, Andrei Shleifer, and Robert Vishny published a landmark study investigating the performance of value stocks relative to glamour securities in the United States over a 26-year period. Their research concluded that value stocks tended to outperform glamour stocks by wide...

The doctrine of “Stocks for the Long Run” has been the cornerstone of strategic asset allocation portfolios for many decades. The catalysts of this phenomenon were the contemporaneous onset of the 1980-2000 bull market, one of the strongest in history, and the emergence of modern financial...

This study introduces a new asset pricing factor to capture both the effects of concentrated ownership and institutional development of in 61 international equity markets. The evidence suggests the new measure offers significant improvements over the size and book-to-market value three factor...

Unlike the existing literature on value and growth investing, this paper takes a different point of view by conducting a "between-markets analysis." First of all, it asks whether the value premium also exists on a country level, in the sense that country indexes that are undervalued consistently...

Country practices towards managing financial risks on a sovereign balance sheet continue to evolve. Each crisis period, and its legacy on sovereign balance sheets, reaffirms the need for strengthening financial risk management. This paper discusses some salient features embedded in in the...

This paper explores the effect of feedback trading on expected returns and international portfolio allocation using stock market data for the US and Latin America. Autocorrelation in monthly returns are shown to vary with volatility as suggested by the Shiller-Sentana-Wadhwani feedback trading...

Existing research discards domestic equities as inflation hedge, yet, to the best of my knowledge, overlooks international equities. I show that international equities hedge against inflation level and inflation changes more effectively than domestic equities. The protection is stronger for...