A seminal paper by Fama and Bliss (1987) showed that a simple regression model could explain a significant portion of 1-year ahead excess returns. Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005) showed that their regression model could explain a significantly larger por tion of excess returns than Fama and...

The 4 th European Retail Investment Conference was hosted at Boerse Stuttgart, Germany, from May 17 th to 19 th 2017. The conference chairs invited academics and practitioners to participate and discuss empirical and theoretical research that investigates retail investor products and services,...

A credit default swap (CDS) is a financial contract in which the holder of the instrument will be compensated in the event of a loan default. When available, CDS's are used to monitor the credit risk of countries and companies. In this work we develop a closed form procedure to value a CDS in...

The main aim of this work is to price defaultable bonds. In order to achieve this goal we link first hitting densities of Brownian motion with functionals of controlled diffusions. From a practical point of view examples of diffusions with this property are: Brownian motion with linear drift,...

Futures contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange are the most liquid instruments for trading crude oil, which is the world’s most actively traded physical commodity. Under normal market conditions, traders can easily find counterparties for their trades, resulting in an efficient market...

After more than a decade of existence, crypto-currencies may now be considered an important class of assets presenting some unique appealing characteristics but also sharing some features with real financial assets. This paper provides a comprehensive statistical analysis of the six most...

This paper describes the theoretical structure and estimation results for a DSGE model for the Macedonian economy. Having as benchmark the model of Copaciu et al. (2015), modified to allow for a fixed exchange rate, we are able to match relatively well the volatility observed in the data. Given...

Which are the main frictions and driving forces of business cycle dynamics in a small open economy? To answer this question we extend what is becoming the standard new Keynesian model in three dimensions. First, we incorporate frictions in the financing of the capital stock. Second, we model...

In this paper, we explore the stochastic nature of implied recovery rates. We exploit the fact that differently-ranking debt instruments of the same issuer face identical default risk but different defaultconditionalrecovery rates. Specifically, we extract information from Credit Default Swaps...

How important are financial and labor market frictions for the business cycle dynamics of a small open economy? What are the quantitative effects of increased financial risk on output and inflation? What drives the variation in the intensive and extensive margin of labor supply? What are the...