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In this paper we empirically analyse the factors which determined consumer credit in Greece in the period before and after the financial liberalisation, while accounting for significant changes in structure due to the lifting of credit restrictions and the subsequent impressive boom of consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010568852
In a recent paper Cavaliere et al. (2012) develop bootstrap implementations of the (pseudo-) likelihood ratio [PLR] co-integration rank test and associated sequential rank determination procedure of Johansen (1996). The bootstrap samples are constructed using the restricted parameter estimates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010569130
En este documento se analiza la relación existente entre el riesgo del sector real y del sistema financiero. Para esto, se estima un modelo FAVAR en el cual se incluyen un conjunto de variables que reflejan la evolución de la dinámica común de las series de los diferentes sectores de la...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010569391
We estimate time series of option implied Probabilities of Default (PoDs) for 19 major US financial institutions from 2002 to 2012. These PoDs are estimated as mass points of entropy based risk neutral densities and subsequently corrected for maturity dependence. The ob- tained time series are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010569872
Economic policies are generally formulated on the basis of data available in real time, which might subsequently be revised. Implicitly, the possibility of data revisions creates an element of uncertainty around the very same data driving policy decisions. Given that such uncertainty could be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551570
In this study spanning four decades, we explored the relationship between the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) interventions and the validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) across two distinct exchange rate regimes: the fixed exchange rate regime (1975-1993) and the managed floating regime...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014635893
This study utilized both single-regime GARCH and double-regime GARCH models to investigate oil price volatility, Spanish macroeconomic factors, and stock prices during major crises such as geopolitical conflicts, the global financial crisis (GFC), and COVID-19, covering the period from Q2-1995...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636061
Resumen This paper presents a study on the determinants of the demand for inbound tourism in the tourist regions of Argentina between 2007 and 2019. Using non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) models, we report different effects of the various explanatory variables per region. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636555
En este artículo se presentan modelos binarios logit y probit para analizar el impacto de la inflación de los activos financieros (acciones, vivienda y crédito) sobre la probabilidad de desaceleración económica en Colombia, para el período 1990-2011. Se determina el plazo (corto o mediano)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763470
En este trabajo, estudiamos el comportamiento del tipo de cambio real (TCR) de Colombia con la ayuda de un modelo de cointegración que considera la interacción entre el TCR y un conjunto de determinantes macroeconómicos durante el período 1994-2012 con datos trimestrales. Estos...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010763631