Headline inflation in most industrialized countries, the US in particular, has been shown to be mean reverting to core inflation in the medium term, whilst at the same time the pass-through of exogenous commodity price shocks from the headline to the core has dramatically gone down as a result...

In this article, we show how to calibrate the widely-used SVI parameterization of the implied volatility smile in such a way as to guarantee the absence of static arbitrage. In particular, we exhibit a large class of arbitrage-free SVI volatility surfaces with a simple closed-form...

We present a discrete time stochastic volatility model in which the conditional distribution of the logreturns is a Variance-Gamma, that is a normal variance-mean mixture with Gamma mixing density. We assume that the Gamma mixing density is time varying and follows an affine Garch model, trying...

The elephant in the room around CDS, CMBS, CMBX, and CDO pricing is the recovery rate. Practically, whilst recovery swaps exist they are not liquid. The problem is especially acute when upfront payments, or quoted prices, contradict previous recovery rate assumptions, e.g. pre-crisis, 40% for...

In this paper we study the stochastic area swept by a regular time-homogeneous diffusion till a stopping time. This unifies some recent literature in this area. Through stochastic time change we establish a link between the stochastic area and the stopping time of another associated...

Low-latency real-time option analytics feeds provide tick-by-tick implied volatilities and greeks based on exchange data. In order for the Black-Scholes implied volatility surface to exhibit the empirically observed skew or smile, a stochastic volatility model can be used to compute the option...

We propose an integrated model of the joint dynamics of FX rates and asset prices for the pricing of FX derivatives, including Quanto products; the model is based on a multivariate construction for Levy processes which proves to be analytically tractable. The approach allows for simultaneous...

Quasi Monte Carlo (QMC) and Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) techniques are applied for pricing and hedging representative financial instruments of increasing complexity. We compare standard Monte Carlo (MC) vs QMC results using Sobol' low discrepancy sequences, different sampling strategies,...

The "SSVI" (aka "S3") implied volatility curve is the simplest curve that has three parameters to describe the at-the-money behavior of implied volatilities for a given term, while also having a sensible functional form in the call and put wings. We describe the necessary and sufficient...

In this article we suggest a new method for solutions of stochastic integrals where the dynamics of the variables in integrand are given by some stochastic differential equation. We also propose numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations which is based on iterated integrals method...