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We analyse the dynamics resulting from social learning in a simple general equilibrium (GE) model, whose structure is similar to the one underlying macroeconomic models of the New Macroeconomic Synthesis. The economy is composed by households and firms who exchange labour and consumption goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048351
We present a dynamic general equilibrium model of bank runs where global games are utilized as the equilibrium selection criterion. Coordination failures among bank creditors lead to panic-based runs. An endogenous borrowing constraint emerges as banks internalize the impact of their leverage...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908598
We describe some of the main features of the recent vintage macroeconomic models used for monetary policy evaluation. We point to some of the key differences with respect to the earlier generation of macro models, and highlight the insights for policy that these new frameworks have to offer. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729514
This paper computes the welfare gains from inflation reduction in an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of the U.S. economy. Both steady state and transitional welfare results are reported. I find important steady state welfare gains from a 10 percentage points drop in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014049221
directions. Many models suggested by economic theory are either non-linear or non-Gaussian, or both. We discuss work on the … state and measurement equations or to the full posterior for the states - to obtain draws …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014091729
regressions because it helps pick up the Fed's serially correlated real-time measurement errors which are not taken into account …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120664
In this paper we estimate a small forward-looking macroeconomic model for EMU which allows us to analyze the transmission mechanism of the monetary policy implemented by the European Central Bank through an interest rate rule that stabilizes inflation and output. The estimation of this model,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014123649
Rational expectations has been the dominant way to model expectations, but the literature has quickly moved to a more realistic assumption of boundedly rational learning where agents are assumed to use only a limited set of information to form their expectations. A standard assumption is that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128293
The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between increasing inequality and financial fragility in an agent based macroeconomic model. We analyse the effects of a non-linear relationship between wealth and consumption on the evolution of the economic system. Preliminary results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072814
This paper describes a package which uses MATLAB functions and routines to estimate VARs, local projections and other models with classical or Bayesian methods. The toolbox allows a researcher to conduct inference under various prior assumptions on the parameters, to produce point and density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213043