Showing 71 - 80 of 684,826
This comment points out mismeasurement of three of the variables in the DSGE model in Smets and Wouters (2007) and in models that use the Smets-Wouters model as a benchmark. The mismeasurement appears serious enough to call into question the reliability of empirical results using these variables
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865189
We estimated a Non-Stationary Dynamic Factor model and used it to generate artificial episodes of disinflation (permanent change in the mean inflation rate). These datasets were used to test the performance of alternative underlying inflation measures. We found that the benchmark underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869836
Timely identification of coincident systemic conditions and forward-looking capacity to anticipate adverse developments are critical for macroprudential policy. Despite clear recognition of these factors in literature, an evaluation methodology and empirical tests for the information value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017894
This article summarizes the main findings on problems related to the measurement and identification of business cycles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994780
The path of output prior to the financial and economic crisis turned out to be not sustainable and lower than previously estimated in some European crisis countries. Specifically, the output gaps have been underestimated (and inversely potential output overestimated) before the recent crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046442
We estimate real consumption's growth rate and volatility in light of three new facts documenting geographic differences in consumption: (1) consumers in separate markets buy different products, (2) a product's market share varies geographically conditional on relative price, and (3) product...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932589
Assessing macroeconomic demand conditions is critical for monetary policy to gaugeimminent inflationary pressures. Generally, measures of output gap, calculated byapplying statistical filters on GDP data, are used for this purpose. GDP data, however,are released only at quarterly frequency with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214672
This paper proposes a tractable New Keynesian (NK) economy with endogenous adjustment in product quality that nests the canonical framework. Endogenous quality choice reduces the slope of the traditional NK Phillips curve and amplifies the economy's response to productivity shocks. This leads to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247090
follow the Smets-Wouters measurement procedures. The mismeasurement errors appear to be large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827852
This paper constructs internationally consistent measures of macroeconomic uncertainty. Our econometric framework extracts uncertainty from revisions in data obtained from standardized national accounts. Applying our model to quarterly post-WWII real-time data, we estimate macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228723