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Moderation. We find that substantial debate still surrounds the underlining causes of reduction in output volatility, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038699
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008662428
The remarkable decline in macroeconomic volatility experienced by the U.S. economy since the mid-80s (the so … to identified shocks. Among other changes, our findings point to (i) an increase in the volatility of hours relative to … output, (ii) a shrinking contribution of non-technology shocks to output volatility, and (iii) a change in the cyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012758591
The remarkable decline in macroeconomic volatility experienced by the U.S. economy since the mid-80s (the so … to identified shocks. Among other changes, our findings point to (i) an increase in the volatility of hours relative to … output, (ii) a shrinking contribution of non-technology shocks to output volatility, and (iii) a change in the cyclical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464476
This study uses a Vector Autoregression approach to examine the link between jobless recoveries and the fast employment expansion in finance, health, and education (FHE) sectors. Both reduced-form estimates and impulse responses indicate a negative effect of the expansion on aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967064
volatility in developing and transition economies, using dynamic panel technique. According to an analysis of variance and … expenditures, consumption and GDP volatilities are the major determinants of macroeconomic volatility. The most influential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009788587
moderation of output volatility compared to the well-known break during the mid-1980s. The period of analysis runs from 1962Q2 to … unconditional volatility and procedures of structural break detection (Inclan–Tiao test and autoregressive conditional …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012147010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003640683
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003814158
We review evidence on the Great Moderation together with evidence about volatility trends at the micro level to develop … a potential explanation for the decline in aggregate volatility since the 1980s and its consequences. The key elements … are declines in firm-level volatility and aggregate volatility—most dramatically in the durable goods sector—but with no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003781571