This model adds to the standard neoclassical model of business fluctuations by introducing a more realistic capital structure problem, where firms have to balance the tax benefits of debt with the costs of potential financial distress. Therefore, firms solve a dynamic problem with both an...

Eine große Herausforderung der multivariablen Analyse mit bilanziellen Kennzahlen besteht in der Identifikation derjenigen Kennzahlen, die zur besten Modellperformance führen und dabei möglichst leicht interpretierbar und intuitiv bleiben. Die Menge der in Frage kommenden Kennzahlen ist in...

Die Prognose der Insolvenzgefährdung von Unternehmen anhand statistischer Methodik war und ist eine bedeutende Aufgabe empirischer Forschung. Eine Möglichkeit der Beurteilung der finanziellen bzw. wirtschaftlichen Verfassung von Unternehmen stellt die sog. externe Bilanzanalyse anhand...

Predicting default probabilities is important for firms and banks to operate successfully and to estimate their specific risks. There are many reasons to use nonlinear techniques for predicting bankruptcy from financial ratios. Here we propose the so called Support Vector Machine (SVM) to...

The trade-off theory on capital structure is tested by modelling the capital structure target asthe solution to a maximization problem. This solution maps asset volatility and loss givendefault to optimal leverage. By applying nonlinear structural equation modelling, theseunobservable variables...

In this paper I analyze how debt structure and the strategic interaction betweenshareholders and creditors in the event of default a¤ect expected stock returns. By en-dogenizing shareholders decision to default, the model generates new predictions linking…rm characteristics to expected stock...

For a sample of 267 financially distressed German corporations, I analyze firms'decision to recapitalize by raising fresh equity. I find evidence consistent with thehypothesis that wealth transfers from owners to creditor resulting from a costlydebt overhang present a potential impediment to a...

In this study we empirically investigate the effect of financial distress on cor-porate ownership and control. Our analysis is based on a panel of 267 Germanfirms that suffered from repeated interest coverage shortfalls and steep share pricedeclines between 1996 and 2004. We track each firm's...

We empirically investigate the determinants of successful debt restructurings fora sample of 116 financially distressed companies in Germany between 1997 and 2004.Of the sampled firms, about half successfully restructure their debt in a workoutwhile the other half fail and file an insolvency...

Die Prognose der Insolvenzgefährdung von Unternehmen anhand statistischer Methodik war und ist eine bedeutende Aufgabe empirischer Forschung. Eine Möglichkeit der Beurteilung der finanziellen bzw. wirtschaftlichen Verfassung von Unternehmen stellt die sog. externe Bilanzanalyse anhand...