The accurate forecast of the foreign currencies exchange rates at the ultra high frequency electronic trading in the foreign currencies exchange markets is a main topic of our research: 1) the present state of the foreign currencies exchange markets in Asia, Europe and North America; 2) the...

This paper employs the post — Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (post — LASSO) to make rolling 1-month--ahead currency excess return forecasts using all other currencies' lagged forward discounts as candidate predictors. The trading strategy of buying (selling) quintile...

This paper investigates the dynamics of information processing for equity prices and the exchange rate of cross-listed firms. Using high-frequency data and a novel structural setting, I disentangle the effects on firm value of the exchange rate from the other determinants of a firm's cash flow....

We start by documenting large differences in bitcoin prices across exchanges located in different countries, or for different fiat currency pairs. For the most reputable exchanges, and after carefully accounting for all the transaction costs and limitations to trade, we find that costly...

Relative bitcoin prices, across locations and currencies, are persistent over time, with the location component accounting for more than 50 percent of the variability. Their distribution is leptokurtic, with negative skewness for fiat pairs, and a standard deviation of 4.5%. Counter- party...

We investigate the information contained in foreign exchange (FX) volume using a novel dataset from the over-the-counter market. We find volume helps predict next day currency returns and is economically valuable for currency investors. Predictability implies a stronger currency return reversal...

We examine the relation between disclosure quality and information asymmetry among market participants following an exogenous shock to macroeconomic risk. In 2015 the Swiss National Bank abruptly announced that it would abandon the longstanding minimum euro-Swiss franc exchange rate. We find...

In September 2011 new legislation allowed Hungarian households, under certain conditions, to repay their foreign-currency-denominated mortgages at preferential, predetermined exchange rates. This created an open foreign currency position of significant but uncertain size on the balance sheet of...

The uncovered interest rate parity puzzle questions the economic relation existing between short term interest rate differentials and exchange rates. One would indeed expect that the differential of interest rates between two countries should be offset by an opposite evolution of the exchange...

The Martingale properties of the floating exchange rates of the ASEAN 3 region are analyzed in this study using contemporary (2000 to 2012) weekly data of inter-bank call rates. The main goal of the analysis is to see if informational efficiency is a feature floating (managed or independently...