A healthy financial system encourages the efficient allocation of capital and risk. The collapse of the house price bubble led to the financial crisis that started in 2007. There is a large empirical literature concerning the relation between asset price bubbles and financial crises. I evaluate...

The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on international trade has been discussed controversially in economic policy and theory for a long time. The paper surveys the theoretical investigations on this topic. The early modeis which analyse the influence of exchange rate uncertainty on trade,...

Risk Measurement with a Safety Belt: Pareto Meets Chebyshev Risk measures based on the Gaussian distribution are prone to understate the probability of extreme events. To capture fat tails and extreme events, we combine the Pareto law with finite variance bounds of Chebyshev. This density...

This paper delevops a tools to analyse the ordering of concordance of random vectors.

This papfer deals with distributional free inference to test for positive quadrant dependence, i.e. for the probability that two variables are simultaneously small (or large) being at least as great as it would be were they dependent.

Der Zufall spielt in den Wirtschaftswissenschaften eine große Rolle, wobei meistens auf subjektive Wahrscheinlichkeiten abgestellt wird, also eingeschränktes Wissen der Wirtschaftsakteure. Objektiver Zufall in der Natur wird seltener modelliert, kommt aber auch vor. Beispielhaft wird die Rolle...

This paper sets up an experimental asset market in the laboratory to investigate the effects of ambiguity on price formation and trading behavior in financial markets. The obtained trading data is used to analyze the effect of ambiguity on various market outcomes (the price level, volatility,...

An expected utility based cost-benefit analysis is in general fragile to its distributional assumptions. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions on the utility function of the expected utility model to avoid this. The conditions ensure that expected (marginal) utility remains finite also...

The distinction of risk vs uncertainty as made by Knight has important implications for policy selection. Assuming the former when the latter is relevant can lead to wrong decisions. With the aid of a stylized model that describes a bank's decision on how to allocate loans, the authors discuss...

In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...