We estimate a no-arbitrage term structure model of U.S. Treasury yields and corporate bond spreads with both economic factors and latent factors as drivers of term structure dynamics. We consider two sets of economic factors: macro factors consisting of inflation and real activity, and financial...

Banks must manage their trading books, not just value them. Pricing includes valuation adjustments collectively known as XVA (at least credit, funding, capital and tax), so management must also include XVA. In trading book management we focus on pricing, hedging, and allocation of prices or...

This paper investigates the lead-lag relationship in daily returns and volatilities between price movements of FTSE/ASE-20 futures and the underlying FTSE/ASE-20 cash index of the Athens Stock Exchange. The results suggest that there is a bidirectional causality between spot and futures returns,...

Fixed income Asian options are frequently adopted by companies to hedge interest rate risk. Having a payoff structure depending on the cumulative short-term rate makes them particularly informativeabout interest rate volatility risk. Based on a joint dataset of bonds and Asian interest rate...

Fixed income options contain substantial information on the price of interest rate volatility risk. In this paper, we ask if those options will also provide information related to other moments of the objective distribution of interest rates. Based on dynamic term structure models within the...

This paper studies the volatility-of-volatility (VVIX) term structure. We find that the slope of the VVIX, defined as VVIX' second principal component, predicts excess returns of S&P500 and VIX traddles. Its informational content is incremental to the VIX term structure and the variance risk...

This article investigates the empirical distributions of log-returns of several financial assets at the daily, weekly, monthly, bimonthly, and quarterly frequencies. The results indicate that the distributions possess significant skewness and leptokurtosis. These findings are attributed to...

The paper introduces a Black\amp;Cox-type structural model for credit default swaps. The existing literature on structural CDS pricing is extended by allowing a general functional form for the default barrier specified without reference to asset volatilities, dividend yields and interest rates....

A credit derivative is a path dependent contingent claim on the aggregate loss in a portfolio of credit sensitive securities. We estimate the value of a credit derivative by Monte Carlo simulation of the affine point process that models the loss. We consider two algorithms that exploit the...

This paper introduces a new semi-parametric methodology for the implied volatility surface, which incorporates machine learning algorithms. Given a starting model, a tree boosting algorithm sequentially minimizes the residuals of observed and estimated implied volatility. To overcome the poor...