We propose using the Realized GARCH model to estimate the daily price volatility in the EPEX power markets. The model specification extracts the volatility-related information from realized measures, which substantially improves the in-sample fit of the data compared to the standard EGARCH...

In this paper we analyze the convergence of interest rates in the European MonetarySystem (EMS) in a framework of changing persistence. This allows us to estimate the exact date of full convergence from the data. A change in persistence means that a time series switches from stationarity to...

This study considers emerging market central bank interventions motivated by international reserve management. Emerging market central banks use currency intervention as a policy tool against exchange rate movements and accumulate international reserves as an insurance against sudden stops or...

We examine intraday momentum in the RUB-USD exchange market and its relationship with informed trading and liquidity provision. Using tick-by-tick transaction level data from the Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange (MICEX) for the period 2005 to 2014, we establish the presence of intraday...

This paper examines the roles of order flow (reflecting private information) and news (reflecting public information) in explaining exchange rate volatility. Analyzing four months of a bank's high frequency US dollar-euro trading, three order flows are used in addition to seasonal patterns in...