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Recently various exchange rate models capturing the dynamics during the transition from an exchange rate arrangement of floating rates into a currency union have been derived. Technically, these stochastic equilibrium models are diffusion processes which have to be estimated by discretely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009349862
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002688654
Recently various exchange rate models capturing the dynamics during the transition from an exchange rate arrangement of floating rates into a currency union have been derived. Technically, these stochastic equilibrium models are diffusion processes which have to be estimated by discretely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295399
A conditional variance analysis is applied to study the exchange rate of the Czech crown. The crown is pegged to a currency basket with an imposed narrow band. The central bank's consistent policy enables the semi-fixed exchange rates to behave similarly to free ones. Their movements exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148359
, such as the ERM, this policy was not undermined by credibility problems. The episode provides an ideal testing ground for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010440947
This paper makes three contributions to the supply-side theory of the real effects of exchange-rate-based disinflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014168988
The authors investigate an international monetary business-cycle model in which agents face monetary policy processes that incorporate regime shifts. In any given period agents cannot directly observe the policy regime, but instead form beliefs that are updated via Bayesian learning. As a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014189321
influence on inflation persistence by its credibility and responses in the face of inflationary shocks. In this study, we use a … regimes. Further, we show that credibility of the monetary regime significantly influences inflation persistence observed … under the regime, such that higher (lower) regime credibility leads to lower (higher) inflation persistence. Finally, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218240
investigates the driving factors of disagreement, paying special attention to the influence of monetary authorities' credibility …' credibility; this relationship is positive in the case of the growth rate of industrial production. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865624
Elevated inflation can threaten the credibility of central banks and increase the risk that inflation expectations do …-varying propagation of inflationary shocks that improves forecasting performance of inflation and wage growth. Central bank credibility is … endogenous in our model and depends on several notions of the learning mechanism. Weaker credibility and a higher risk of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558998