proportion of sophisticated agents. Thus, the credibility of a fixed exchange rate regime grows over time partly because fewer …

Standard models of policy credibility, defined as the expectation that an announced policy will be carried out …, emphasize the preferences of the policymaker, and the role of tough policies in signalling toughness and raising credibility … credibility of a no-devaluation pledge in subsequent periods. We test this implication on data for the interest rate differential …

This study revisits and tests empirically the Portfolio Theory of Inflation (PTI), which analyzes how the effectiveness … (Bossone, The portfolio theory of inflation and policy (in)effectiveness, 2019). The PTI shows that when an economy is heavily …