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This paper examines the issue of mean and variance causality across four equities markets using daily data for the period 1996-2002. We apply the testing procedure developed by Cheung and Ng (1996) in order to test for mean and variance spillovers. The main findings are: (i) In contrast to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005040045
Stock market volatility clusters in time, appears fractionally integrated, carries a risk premium, and exhibits asymmetric leverage effects relative to returns. At the same time, the volatility risk premium, defined by the difference between the risk-neutral and objective expectations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549029
The paper undertakes a non-parametric analysis of the very high frequency movements in stock market volatility using very finely sampled data on the S&P VIX index compiled by the CBOE. The data suggest that stock market volatility is best described as a pure jump process without a continuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008549052
In this paper, we try to build an efficient portfolio among four possible portfolios based on the some 31 Casablanca listed shares. Our analysis concerns the risk which arises from the Markowitz mean-variance approach. Our work method will be implemented as following: first of all, we will test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008490562
A model for a financial asset is constructed with two types of agents. The agents differ in terms of their beliefs. The proportions of the two types change over time according to a stochastic process which models the interaction between the agents. Thus, unlike other models, agents do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005008606
The development of estimation and forecasting procedures using empirically realistic continuous-time stochastic volatility models is severely hampered by the lack of closed-form expressions for the transition densities of the observed returns. In response to this, Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005100878
This paper derives a general equilibrium option pricing model for a European call assuming that the economy is exogenously driven by a dividend process following Hamilton's (1989) Markov regime switching model. The derived formula is used to investigate if the European call option prices are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106291
We propose a general class of Markov-switching-ARFIMA processes in order to combine strands of long memory and Markov-switching literature. Although the coverage of this class of models is broad, we show that these models can be easily estimated with the DLV algorithm proposed. This algorithm...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005678044
We consider time series models in which the conditional mean of the response variable given the past depends on latent covariates. We assume that the covariates can be estimated consistently and use an iterative nonparametric kernel smoothing procedure for estimating the conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453732
This article estimates stochastic volatility jump-diffusion processes using the continuous empirical characteristic function method based on the Joint characteristic function and the Marginal characteristic function. The emphasis is on the specification of jumps in the asset log-price. Out of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005534195