This paper develops more accurate and robust baseline sales estimates (sales in the absence of price promotion) using a dynamic linear model (DLM) enhanced with a multiple structural change model (MSCM). We first discuss the value of utilizing aggregated (chain-level) vs. disaggregated...

Dollar-denominated deposits constitute a large proportion of deposits in many developing economies. This may result in currency mismatches on banks' balance sheets as is suggested by recent literature. In general, having dollar-denominated deposits and loans could increase financial fragility,...

In highly dollarized banking systems, the high level of foreign currency assets or liabilities on banks' balance sheets may create a currency mismatch risk, which could lead to bank failures when faced with sudden exchange rate movements. Central banks in such economies have to adjust their...

We studied how the capital allocation decisions and the loss version of nonprofessional investors change subject to behavioral factors. The optimal wealth allocation between risky and risk-free assets results within a value-at-risk (VaR) portfolio model, which involves assessing risk...

Regulators in developing countries have started to strict banks' foreign currency (FC) lending. Following others, in June 2009, in what is considered "a surprise development" the Turkish Government removed a provision from its existing laws that had allowed Turkish residents to borrow in foreign...

This paper adds to the literature on the financial markets' reaction to government interventions during the 2007-2009 financial crisis by analyzing the response of US firms' credit default swap spreads to key government actions. We find that the government measures taken to stabilize both the...

One of the main reasons for dollarization is the erosion of money's function as a store of value as the Currency Substitution view suggests. It has not been uncommon for countries with high inflationary processes to have high dollarization ratios and banking system that faces important...

This paper proposes a new, individual measure of market risk, denoted as the individually acceptable loss (IAL). This measure can be used by portfolio managers in order to better meet the individual profiles of their non-professional clients, including psychological traits. It can be easily...