The Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) technique recovers a finite second order random variable exploiting suitable linear combinations of orthogonal polynomials which are functions of a given stochastic quantity $\xi$, hence acting as a kind of random basis. The PCE methodology has been developed...

We customize factor attribution for quantitative equity portfolios to better align the measurement of factor returns with how factor tilts were taken on. Specifically, we provide a theoretical argument for including the absolute value of factor exposures in the attribution to account for the...

Tail risk refers to the possibility that a rare event would adversely affect the value of a portfolio in a significant manner. It became much more relevant due to recent periods of strong market turbulence.We describe how to quantify such risk, which tail risk protection strategies were...

This paper develops and presents the prior adaptive group lasso for generalized linear models. The prior adaptive group lasso is an extension of the prior lasso developed by Jiang, He, and Zhang (2016), which allows for the use of existing information from previous or similar studies in the...

This study adds to the literature on estimating the probability of informed trading (PIN), which interests market microstructure empiricists, by proposing the q-adjustment to the process of estimating PIN. Due to challenges in accessing the data necessary for distinguishing between buyer- and...

In this paper we introduce a new parametric distribution, the Mixed Tempered Stable. We show that, by choosing appropriately the value of the distribution parameters, it is possible to obtain some well-known distributions as special cases. The better fit to market returns and to statistical...

This study presents and empirically tests a simple framework that examines the effects of market liquidity (the ease with which stocks are traded) and funding liquidity (the ease with which market participants can obtain funding) on stock market bubbles. Three key findings emerge from this...

This paper quantifies how variation in real economic activity and inflation in the U.S. influenced the market prices of level, slope, and curvature risks in U.S. Treasury markets. We develop a novel arbitrage-free dynamic term structure model in which bond investment decisions are influenced by...

This paper considers flexible conditional (regression) measures of market risk. Value-at-Risk modeling is cast in terms of the quantile regression function - the inverse of the conditional distribution function. A basic specification analysis relates its functional forms to the benchmark models...

This article examines the deviation of the UK market index from market fundamentals implied by the simple dividend discount model and identifies other components that also affect price movements. The components are classified as permanent, temporary, excess stock returns and non-fundamental...