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We investigate the incremental information conveyed by management forecast errors over and above the consensus analyst forecast error at the time of earnings announcement. To the extent that analysts rationally revise their forecasts to subsume information contained in management releases, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010665529
We find that analysts who issue more accurate earnings forecasts also issue more profitable stock recommendations. The average factor-adjusted return associated with the recommendations of analysts in the highest accuracy quintile exceeds the corresponding return for analysts in the lowest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754589
We show that abnormal returns to analysts' recommendations stem from both the ratings levels assigned as well as the changes in those ratings. Conditional on the ratings change, buy and strong buy recommendations have greater returns than do holds, sells, and strong sells. Conditional on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766754
This paper compares Value Line and I/B/E/S analyst earnings forecasts in terms of accuracy, rationality, and as proxies for market expectations. Using more recent data and forming consensus forecasts from the I/B/E/S detail files, we reach different conclusions than Philbrick and Ricks [1991],...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739141
This study compares the earnings forecasts of analysts employed by independent research firms to those of analysts employed by investment banks along the dimensions of accuracy and optimism. We discuss the conflicts of interest faced by both groups and suggest that, despite incentives stemming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739463
I examine the role of analysts in providing heterogeneous interpretations of public disclosures, specifically earnings announcements. Consistent with the predictions of Indjejikian's (1991) model, I document that there are relatively more heterogeneous interpretations in the forecast revisions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740263
We document several factors that help explain cross-sectional variations in the delayed price response to individual analyst forecast revisions. First, the market does not make a sufficient distinction between those analysts providing new information and others simply quot;herdingquot; toward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012741280
We examine the effect of signal attributes and analyst identity on the price impact of an earnings forecast revision. We measure the price impact immediately upon the release of a forecast, as well as over the next twenty-four months. We find that an analyst's own prior forecast and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012742716
We investigate the relation between analyst stock recommendations and eight concurrently available variables that have predictive power for stock returns. We find that analysts generally pay little attention to the large sample predictive attributes of these variables. In seven out of eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012742717
This paper examines the interaction between an analyst's disclosure and a manager's earnings report. We show how the nature of the analyst's information affects the quality of reported earnings. We also provide conditions for the analyst's disclosure to reduce the quality of investor information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012743373