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Divergence in investor beliefs is an important driver of the negative relation between option trading volume and future stock returns. We find a strong negative relation between disagreement-based option trades and future stock returns, and this relation is markedly amplified when the underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851265
In this paper, I show that the volatility index VIX is not model-free as soon as the diff usion term is not Brownian motion even when correcting for jumps. In a stock index model that allows for temporary periods of under- or overreaction, such as a multifractional model, a wrong annualization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058148
We review the literature on derivatives in emerging markets. This young but booming literature appears to be concentrated on a few countries, but is quite rich in terms of subject coverage. We classify these topics based on the generally recognized functions of derivative markets and restrict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016148
A new economic revolution liberating financial markets? Seeks to answer some of the questions driving the existential crisis embroiling finance: What is currency? What is value? What is a business? What is a bank, even?This article discusses how regulatory reform, transformative technologies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021212
Integrated Trend Analysis is an attempt to study and analysis the diverse forces which affect the price of a security with the help of Triple Trend Oscillator (TTO). TTO is a trend following oscillator devised to identify the exact technical strength of a stock or indices over multiple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025936
As stress testing becomes more and more widespread as a risk measurement tool of choice, new questions are formulated about its applications to portfolio management. One of the most important ones for fund managers is: ‘How do we analyze results of stress tests for benchmarked portfolios?' We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013027811
We introduce and evaluate the NOVIX - an implied volatility index for the Norwegian equity index OBX. NOVIX is created according to the VIX methodology. We compare the NOVIX to the German VDAX-NEW and the U.S. VIX and find that NOVIX has similar properties as these two indices. We also evaluate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012985934
The English version of this paper can be found at 'http://ssrn.com/abstract=2783021' http://ssrn.com/abstract=2783021Spanish Abstract: Esta tesis desarrolla un modelo algebraico de cobertura (MAC) de carteras índice de renta variable con futuros sobre índices bursátiles alternativo a los...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012992398
This paper analyses the role of investor sentiment in the contemporaneous dynamics of spot and futures markets and in volatility spillovers between them. To explore this issue, we analyse spot and futures markets on stock market indexes in different countries: the S&P500 for the US, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044815
Recent evidence shows that investor sentiment is a contrarian predictor of stock returns with speculative stocks earning lower (higher) future returns than safe stocks following high (low) sentiment states. We extend this argument by conditioning expected stock returns on sentiment dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932843