This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....

This article investigates the empirical relationship between monetary policy in the United States (US) and international equity, bond and real estate security markets for the sample period 01/1994 to 12/2007. The empirical results suggest that equity markets close to the US have a statistically...

This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...

In this paper we present a theory of the financing of investment in a modern capitalist economy, following the approach developed by Hyman P. Minsky. We argue that the current financial crisis that began with the collapse of the subprime mortgage market in the United States in 2007 provides a...

This paper examines the significance of different fundamental regimes by applying various monetary models of the exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12....

This paper proposes and tests a theory of credit-driven asset bubbles which are neutral in their real effects. When a lender such as a government, central bank, or banking sector is willing to lend infinitely against collateral, explosive asset bubbles can form which exactly offset a bubble in...

We study the determinants of bond spreads of euro area sovereigns since the introduction of the euro. We show that an aggregate risk factor is a main driver of spreads. The aggregate risk factor also plays an important role for sovereign risk through its interaction with the size and structure...

Financial Predictors of Real Activity and the Propagation of Aggregate Shocks Bond yield and retail interest rate spreads are presumed to lead real activity on the basis of financial accelerator mechanisms, markup cyclicality or simply because they are forward-looking. Empirical results for...

Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht auf der theoretischen Basis eines Barwertmodells und eines spekulativen Blasenprozesses die Existenz spekulativer Komponenten in britischen, deutschen und US-amerikanischen Aktienkursen. Die methodische Grundlage ist ein neues, nichtlineares Zeitreihenverfahren,...

This paper examines the nature of the correlation between (real) equity and bond returns for the G7 markets. From the standpoint of established finance theory, we would expect a positive returns correlation, however, evidence has been presented to suggest that a negative correlation occurs over...