We conduct performance tests of the recommended asset allocations made by a panel of international investment houses (the "Houses") from 1982 through 2005. We compare the returns and Sharpe Ratios from the recommended-weight portfolio against those of several benchmark portfolios and to a set of...

In this paper, we report the first empirical tests concerning the international investment strategies of a panel of investment houses from 1982 through 1999. The previously untapped data for this study comes from surveys published in the Financial Report, a confidential newsletter purchased by...

A central question in finance is how to measure portfolio performance. We assert that foresight (i.e., the ability of managers to forecast relative returns) and commitment (i.e., the aggressiveness with which managers act on their foresight) are necessary ingredients to generate portfolio...

We introduce a decomposition showing precisely how actively-managed portfolio returns can be separated into three measurable components that we call Opportunity, Foresight, and Active Management Risk. Opportunity reflects the degree to which the investment opportunity set contains exploitable...