This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent once volatility is correctly separated into its continuous and discontinuous component. To this purpose, we...

The simultaneous occurrence of jumps in several stocks can be associated with major financial news, triggers short-term predictability in stock returns, is correlated with sudden spikes of the variance risk premium, and determines a persistent increase (decrease) of stock variances and...

Even moderate amounts of zero returns in financial data, associated with stale prices, are heavily detrimental for reliable jump inference. We harness staleness-robust estimators to re-appraise the statistical features of jumps in financial markets. We find that jumps are much less frequent and...

The dependence between the magnitudes of discontinuous changes in asset prices and contemporaneous discontinuous changes in volatility (co-jumps) is a fundamental aspect of the price process contributing, among other effects, to skewness in the return distribution. Yet, its nature has been...

We provide clear-cut evidence for economically and statistically significant multivariate jumps (multi-jumps) occurring simultaneously in stock prices by using a novel nonparametric test based on smoothed estimators of integrated variances. Detecting multi-jumps in a panel of liquid stocks is...

We propose a new methodology to describe and detect price reversals. We highlight the benefits of our method compared to classic measures of transient market inefficiency, such as the variance ratio. We show that (i) our characterization is consistent with the forensic definition used by the SEC...

A novel closed-form pricing formula for short-maturity options is employed to jointly identifyequity characteristics (spot volatility, spot leverage, and spot volatility of volatility) which havebeen the focus of large, but separate, strands of the literature. Interpreting equity as a call...

We study a new class of three-factor affine option pricing models with interdependent volatility dynamics and a stochastic skewness component unrelated to volatility shocks. These properties are useful in order (i) to model a term structure of implied volatility skews more consistent with the...