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This paper studies actual house prices relative to fundamental house prices. Using UK data and a time-varying present value approach, we find that deviations of house prices from their fundamental value (as warranted by real disposable income) are significant but not dominated by speculative...
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Using data from five major stock markets and a vector autoregression estimation procedure underpinned by the traditional intertemporal capital asset pricing model, initial evidence suggests that the UK investing community is particularly prejudiced in terms of short-termist behaviour. The...
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We combine recent developments on extracting jumps from high frequency stock index data with the literature on option pricing with time varying volatility to model S&P 500 index returns from 2005. We compare the fit of several GARCH models, with and without jumps, from the historical return...
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