Volatility in UK stock markets increased substantially during 1997-2000 relative to the past. This paper shows that much of that volatility can be attributed to a substantial increase in sector specific and sub-sector specific risk. Over this period the role of market risk as the driving force...

Using 54 years of quarterly data and a VAR model underpinned by a theoretical framework describing the relationship between US stock prices and the macroeconomy, this paper analyses the extent to which US stock prices deviate from economy-wide fundamentals. Focusing on real output and using a...

Using long-run data and a VAR approach, the study investigates whether US and UK stock markets have experienced excessively volatile prices and excessively high returns. Present value models, developed in a constant and non-constant risk CAPM framework, are used as benchmarks with which to...

Purpose – This paper aims to examine the relationship between the conditional variance of the factors from the Fama–French three-factor model and macroeconomic risk, where macroeconomic risk is proxied by the conditional variance for a default risk premium and real gross domestic product...

Using data from the stock markets of Japan, the UK and the US, this paper examines the time series properties of a price index derived from a zero net investment strategy of buying value stocks and short selling growth stocks. We use the results of this analysis to consider implications for the...