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became physically integrated. The oil-linked Continental gas price became dominant, due to both the large volume of the … opening up of the Interconnector (1998) the UK gas market had neither government price regulation nor a physical Continental … oil and electricity, took place. Using monthly price data, we find a highly integrated market where wholesale demand seems …
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Recent research has focused on the prevailing relationship between crude oil and natural gas prices. Nowadays, it is well acknowledged that crude oil prices often drive natural gas prices. However, their relationship is unstable over time so that it exhibits regime changes. As a result, crude...
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, conventional linear models of price dynamics such as the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) can lead to erroneous inferences … about cointegration relationships, price adjustments and relative values. We propose the use of regime-switching models to … address these issues. Our regime switching model uses price data to infer whether pricing is oil-driven (integrated) or gas …
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, conventional linear models of price dynamics such as the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) can lead to erroneous inferences … about cointegration relationships, price adjustments and relative values. We propose the use of regime-switching models to … address these issues. Our regime switching model uses price data to infer whether pricing is oil-driven (integrated) or gas …
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