Shocks to monetary and fiscal policy have played a major role in public debt developments since the mid 1970s. According to the applied VAR approach, together these shocks explained, on average, about half of the forecast error variation in the debt to GDP ratio while the share of shocks to GDP...

Shocks to monetary and fiscal policy have played a major role in public debt developments in the OECD countries since the mid-1970s. According to the applied VAR approach, these shocks, taken together, explained, on average, about half of the forecast error variation in the debt to GDP ratio,...