Tests are made for (deterministic) chaos on weekly data (from 01/13/87 to 06/02/93) for the spot-month futures exchange rate between the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar. The Nychka, Ellner, Gallant and McCaffrey nonparametric test for positivity of the maximum Lyapunov exponent is used and...

This study contrasts the (apparent) random walk behaviour of the real exchange rate to chaotic dynamics, using (US) dollar-based real exchange rates for 17 OECD countries (covering the period 1957:1-1995:4). Tests for deterministic noisy chaos are carried out using the Nychka, Ellner, Gallant...

The current mainstream approach to monetary policy is based on the New Keynesian model and is expressed in terms of a short-term nominal interest, such as the federal funds rate in the United States. It ignores the role of leverage and also downplays the role of money in basic monetary theory...

In this paper, we build on Ryan and Wales (1998), Moschini (1999), and Serletis and Shahmoradi (2007) and impose curvature conditions locally on the quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) model of Banks et al. (1997), an extension of the simple AIDS model of Deaton and Muellbauer (1980)...

In this paper, we build on recent work by Serletis et al. (2010, in press) and report short- and long-run estimates of aggregate interfuel substitution for a number of OECD and non-OECD countries. In doing so, we use recent pooled intercountry data (since 1980), and state-of-the-art advances in...

In this paper we investigate the asymmetric effects of oil price shocks and monetary policy on macroeconomic activity, using monthly data for the United States, over the period from 1983:1 to 2008:12. In doing so, we use a logistic smooth transition vector autoregression (VAR), as detailed in...

We derive a primal Divisia technical change index based on the output distance function and further show the validity of this index from both economic and axiomatic points of view. In particular, we derive the primal Divisia technical change index by total differentiation of the output distance...